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DRA analysis of court-approved remedial maps

In order to further public transparency about redistricting in North Carolina and allow for public review, Common Cause has uploaded remedial maps approved by the state court into Dave’s Redistricting Application (DRA). This information is provided for public education only, and the analysis here reflects that generated by the DRA program and does not constitute an opinion on or endorsement of these maps by Common Cause.

Click on the map name below to jump to its analysis section:

Congressional

NC Senate

NC House


2022 NC Interim Congressional Map

点击此处查看完整的 DRA 分析和交互式地图.

The DRA Analysis shows:

DRA Analytics:

DRA 检查地图如何满足 5 个不同的标准: 比例, 竞争力, 少数族裔代表, 紧凑, 和 分裂。其每个类别的得分按 0-100 的等级列出如下。数字越高,得分越高。请注意,DRA 的少数族裔代表分析并不能确保遵守《投票权法案》(VRA)。DRA 还指出,利益共同体等某些因素可能难以量化。

以下是基于以下观点的房屋平面图: composite 2016-2020 election data 它综合了几次选举的结果。红色或蓝色越深,席位越安全。颜色越浅,席位越不安全。

To rate the districts, DRA uses the Democratic vote share. The rank votes graph below illustrates the Democratic vote share in each district. Five of the districts had a Democratic vote share between 45% and 55%. This includes district 1, district 9, district 11, and district 13. To learn more about how the rank votes graph works, 点击这里.

The declination (indicated by the white circle in the rank votes graph) of this congressional plan is lower than both those enacted by the North Carolina legislature.  The bigger the declination, the greater the partisan bias of the plan.

Out of the 4 districts with a democratic vote share between 45% and 55%,  2 lean Republican and 2 lean Democratic. According to the DRA analysis, the most likely outcome of this map would be a 7-7 split, 7 Democrats, 7 Republicans.

这张地图显示了北卡罗来纳州黑人人口在各个地区的分布情况:

District 1 has a Black voting age population of 41.23%.  It is the only district with a Black voting age population above 37%.  Districts 1 is the only majority-minority district.

Black Voting Age Population of Northeast NC Congressional District:


Remedial NC Senate Map

点击此处查看完整的 DRA 分析和交互式地图.

The DRA Analysis shows:

DRA Analytics:

DRA 检查地图如何满足 5 个不同的标准: 比例, 竞争力, 少数族裔代表, 紧凑, 和 分裂。其每个类别的得分按 0-100 的等级列出如下。数字越高,得分越高。请注意,DRA 的少数族裔代表分析并不能确保遵守《投票权法案》(VRA)。DRA 还指出,利益共同体等某些因素可能难以量化。

以下是参议院计划的观点,基于 composite 2016-2020 election data which combines the results of several elections. The darker the shade of red or blue the safer the seat. The lighter the shade, the less safe the seat is.

To rate the districts, DRA uses the Democratic vote share. The rank votes graph below illustrates the Democratic vote share in each district. Nine of the districts had a Democratic vote share between 45% and 55%. This includes:

  • District 3 (Warren, Halifax, Northampton, Hertford, Martin, Bertie, Camden, Currituck, Tyrell, and Gates counties)
  • District 4 (Wilson, Greene, and Wayne counties),
  • District 7 (most of New Hanover County),
  • District 11 (Vance, Franklin, Nash),
  • District 17 (southern Wake County),
  • District 18 (Granville County and northern Wake County),
  • District 21 (Moore County and northwest Cumberland County),
  • District 24 (Scotland, Hoke, and Robeson counties)
  • District 42 (southern Mecklenburg County)

To learn more about how the rank votes graph works, 点击这里.

Out of the 9 districts with a Democratic vote share between 45% and 55%, 4 lean Republican and 5 lean Democratic. According to the DRA analysis, the most likely outcome of this map would be a 28-22 split in favor of the Republicans.

这张地图显示了北卡罗来纳州黑人人口在各个地区的分布情况:

There are 8 districts with a Black voting age population over 37%.  This includes:

  • District 3 (Warren, Halifax, Northampton, Hertford, Martin, Bertie, Camden, Currituck, Tyrell, and Gates counties),
  • District 5 (Pitt, Edgecombe),
  • District 14 (eastern Wake County),
  • District 19 (Cumberland County),
  • District 28 (Greensboro, central Guilford County)
  • District 38 (central and northeastern Mecklenburg County)
  • District 40 (eastern Mecklenburg County
  • District 41 (northern and western Mecklenburg County)

There are 8 majority-minority districts.  This includes:

  • District 14 (eastern Wake County)
  • District 19 (Cumberland County)
  • District 22 (central and northern Durham County)
  • District 24 (Scotland, Hoke, and Robeson counties)
  • District 28 (Greensboro, central Guilford County)
  • District 38 (central and northeastern Mecklenburg County)
  • District 40 (eastern Mecklenburg County
  • District 41 (northern and western Mecklenburg County)


Remedial NC House Map

点击此处查看完整的 DRA 分析和交互式地图.

The DRA Analysis shows:

DRA Analytics:

DRA 检查地图如何满足 5 个不同的标准: 比例, 竞争力, 少数族裔代表, 紧凑, 和 分裂。其每个类别的得分按 0-100 的等级列出如下。数字越高,得分越高。请注意,DRA 的少数族裔代表分析并不能确保遵守《投票权法案》(VRA)。DRA 还指出,利益共同体等某些因素可能难以量化。

以下是基于以下观点的房屋平面图: composite 2016-2020 election data 它综合了几次选举的结果。红色或蓝色越深,席位越安全。颜色越浅,席位越不安全。

To rate the districts, DRA uses the Democratic vote share. The rank votes graph below illustrates the Democratic vote share in each district. Twenty-three of the districts had a Democratic vote share between 45% and 55%. To learn more about how the rank votes graph works, 点击这里.

Out of the 23 districts with a democratic vote share between 45% and 55%, 9 lean Republican and 14 lean Democratic. According to the DRA analysis, the most likely outcome of this map would be a 63-57 split in favor of the Republicans.

这张地图显示了北卡罗来纳州黑人人口在各个地区的分布情况:

There are 21 districts with a Black voting age population of 37% or higher. In 4 of the districts, the majority of the voting age population is Black.  This includes:

  • District 23 (Edgecombe, Martin, and Bertie counties)
  • District 27, (Warren, Halifax, and Northampton counties)
  • District 101 (part of western Mecklenburg County)
  • District 107 (part of northern and north central Mecklenburg County)

District 21 (Morrisville and northwestern Cary) has an Asian voting age population of 42%.

District 47 (Robeson County) has a Native American voting age population of 47%.

 

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